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We keep hearing its about 35% when kids are committed prior to Juniors. This said I cant find this online anywhere.
From personal experience the % changes because of coaching changes.
New guy comes in, wipes the slate clean and selects his own guys.
Something to consider if your years away.
Why would any kid commit to a college before getting a taste of Jr Hockey? I just don't get it? Parents, relax, no need to lose sleep if your kid is not committed yet. Also remember, once he commits other schools stop watching him. Nothing worse than loosing your commitment and then no spots available.
Silly silly. All putting the cart in front of the horse.
Kid is a good young player, finds his way to some discussions with a D-1 coach, tells the coach "Sounds good I like your program, but it's too early for me to commit." Kid makes it through high school and starts looking for a Jr. team and attends tryouts at USHL, NAHL, NCDC, EHL, USPHL. . . makes it on to a team, maybe pays $10K a year for the honor and tries to standout and find a college that will take him.
College coach likes a young player, offers 14 players a spot (when there might only be 4-5 actually available), kid now wears the badge as a D-1 commit, moves to the front of the line for all select teams, plays in show cases, top line and when he finishes high school the college coach slides him onto a USHL or NAHL team, kid has his path greased and may or may not ever play a minute of D-1 hockey.
Unless you're an immediate NHL draft candidate, take the commit, ride that horse for all it's worth as it makes your life a lot easier.
If it was a bad thing to be an early commit then why the absolute rush for the legacy kids to get that college icon next to their name asap. As others have said, it opens way more doors than it shuts.
I'll take those odds.