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Youth Hockey
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Looks like Malcolm Gladwell was right in Outliers

In looking through the New England kids on the USHL Futures Draft list on the DBoard Facebook page you have to believe Malcolm Gladwell was right in Outliers. Only a few birthdays land in the final quarter of the year.

" But January-born minor midgets are, on average, bigger and taller than December-born players. Gladwell argues that this head start gives players born in the first months of the year a life-long advantage: they are more likely to be chosen for top tier competitive teams, they get more ice time and better coaching.

The result, Gladwell says, is "an iron law of Canadian hockey: in any elite group of hockey players - the very best of the best - 40 per cent of the players will have been born between January and March." Those born in the last quarter of the year might as well just "give up on hockey." "


https://cdn0.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_asset/file/6049435/USHL_Futures_Draft_-_New_England_2000s.0.pdf

Re: Looks like Malcolm Gladwell was right in Outliers

The impetus behind the posting is not about you validating Gladwells research. It's obviously about you searching for comfort and justification for your son not making the list.

Re: Looks like Malcolm Gladwell was right in Outliers

My son is older and is a very late December player who has multiple standing offers in Tier I Jr. Hockey. It was just the lumps he took early on to get there when he was always playing up a year basically. But hey, thanks for worrying about my kid. It's very kind of you.

Re: Looks like Malcolm Gladwell was right in Outliers

I'm sure he does have many invites to combines and camps.

Re: Looks like Malcolm Gladwell was right in Outliers

He's been to camps, yes.

Re: Looks like Malcolm Gladwell was right in Outliers

Gladwell was right for junior-aged players. His theory falls apart as players get older:

http://www.bloodyelbow.com/2012/1/4/2681038/out-liar-what-malcolm-gladwell-gets-wrong-about-the-relative-age